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The probability of a future eruption from a wholly new site, or of a type of activity not represented in the past history of the volcano is remote. Compared with some other countries lying in the almost continuous belt of earthquake activity around the rim of the Pacific—such as Japan, Chile and the Philippines—the level of seismic activity in New Zealand is moderate, although earthquakes are common.
A shock of Richter magnitude 6 or above occurs on average about once a year, a shock of magnitude 7 or above once in 10 years, and a shock of about magnitude 8 perhaps once a century. Within New Zealand at least two separate systems of seismic activity can be distinguished. Less clearly defined activity covers the remainder of the two main islands, and extends eastwards from Banks Peninsula to include the Chatham Islands.
Shallow earthquakes, which are the most numerous, originate within the earth's crust, which in New Zealand has an average thickness of some 35 kilometres. These shocks are responsible for almost all damage to property, and are widely scattered throughout the country. The most important system of deep shocks in New Zealand lies in a well-defined zone beneath the Main Seismic Region, stretching from the Bay of Plenty to Nelson and Marlborough.
The maximum depth of occurrence is about kilometres at the northern end, and decreases evenly to a depth of about kilometres before the southern boundary of the region is reached. In geophysically disturbed regions those with both volcanic and earthquake activity , large earthquakes are rare, although small earthquakes usually accompany volcanic eruptions. Regions of active volcanism are also subject to periodic outbreaks of small earthquakes, very numerous and all of similar magnitude. Monitoring of volcanic earthquakes. This is done using closely spaced networks of seismometers.
These networks are designed to detect the movement of magma molten rock below the surface and allow assessment of the possible onset and timing of eruptive activity.
Monitoring of ground deformation. This is done using precise geodetic surveys.
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The concept is that if magma is moving upwards prior to an eruption, it will cause the volcano to swell i. A novel version of this technique uses lakes at Taupo and Okataina as giant spirit levels. Monitoring of volcanic gases. Magma at depth in the earth contains gases carbon dioxide, together with various compounds of sulphur, chlorine and fluorine dissolved in it.
As the magma rises to shallow levels prior to an eruption, these gases are released and come to the surface via fumaroles. The temperatures and absolute abundances of the gases and their relative proportions give information on the state of the magma and how close to the surface it is. In a volcanic crisis, practical steps can be taken to mitigate risk and lessen the threat to life, but this requires accurate perception of the onset of a crisis.
In New Zealand an active volcano surveillance programme exists to define these background levels. Experiences at recent large volcanic eruptions like Rabaul Papua New Guinea and Pinatubo Philippines show that it is possible to make enormous savings of human life during volcanic crises. On the other hand, Nevado del Ruiz and El Chichon show that poor planning results in major loss of life. A major feature of mitigation is public education. Communities exposed to frequent volcanic hazards evolve simple measures to limit risk.
One example is Whakapapa village, Mt Ruapehu, where posters and brochures detailed precautions against lahar hazards on the ski-fields, and a lahar warning system is regularly tested as a precaution. Several organisations and communities are using this to promote an increased awareness of volcanic-hazards in New Zealand.
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Activities include a special issue of Tephra by the Ministry of Civil Defence; public lectures and old newsreel viewing at Taupo Observatory; public lectures, an open day and civil defence exercise on the Whakapapa Skifield co-ordinated by DOC, Ruapehu Alpine Lifts and Ruapehu District Council ; community education and school colouring competition by Taupo District Council; the Caltex Volcanoes and Giants exhibition at Auckland Museum; and other activities organised by Auckland Regional Council. Earthquakes have occurred in New Zealand more frequently in the last five years than in the previous decade.
This is not a cause for alarm, but a demonstration of the irregular way in which they happen. It is clear that during the s and early s we experienced fewer large earthquakes than normal. Earthquakes in followed the established pattern of an active region from the Bay of Plenty to the northern South Island. New Zealanders have again been fortunate that large earthquakes have not occurred close to the large cities. One of the most significant earthquakes in New Zealand in recent years occurred on 18 June, near Arthur's Pass. Its Richter magnitude was 6.
That earthquake caused extensive damage to houses, commercial buildings, freeways and other infrastructure. The Arthur's Pass earthquake in June was felt strongly in Christchurch, but damage there was very light because the epicentre was about km from the city. There are some reports of minor damage in Christchurch and surrounding towns. Localities closer to the epicentre sustained more damage but the Arthur's Pass area itself is sparsely populated.
The earthquake was felt very strongly at Lake Coleridge, where an earthquake of magnitude 6. Aftershocks began immediately, with one of magnitude 5. On 16 September, there was one of magnitude 4. Such an aftershock sequence is fully expected after an earthquake of this size. Scientists installed 20 portable seismographs, mostly to the south and west of Arthur's Pass, within the few days following the main shock.
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Within one week these recorded about 10, aftershocks, mostly very small but important for understanding the physical process going on in the Earth to produce such big earthquakes. Initial analysis of these shows that the fault on which they occurred was oriented northwest-southeast, which is at right angles to the direction most seismologists and geologists expected.
This implies a more complicated geological structure of the region than was presumed. The Arthur's Pass region has had large earthquakes in the past. Notable was the magnitude 7 earthquake in March , which has been overshadowed in popular memory by the larger shock which occurred in June of that year and caused extensive damage to Murchison, Nelson, Westport and Greymouth. The Bay of Plenty is always an active area, particularly offshore, and was no exception. On 16 December an earthquake of magnitude 6.
Power was out for a short time in Opotiki, and some shops reported goods falling off shelves. It was felt throughout much of the Bay of Plenty. This area to the north of White Island has had a lot of earthquakes of this size in the past 10 years, with huge sequences of smaller shocks, but they seem not to be related directly to the volcanic activity.
The volcano-seismic earthquakes there, are mostly quite small, though numerous, and very close to White Island. Opotiki also suffered on 9 March, when an earthquake of magnitude 5. This shock was also felt in Gisborne and Taumarunui. On 23 April an earthquake of magnitude 5. On 5 June an earthquake of magnitude 5. Fiordland is normally very active, but it was quieter in On 28 March an earthquake of magnitude 5. Deep earthquakes under the North island are more frequent than shallow ones, and are often felt very widely.
But they do little damage because of their depth. Some of the significant ones were:. In a pocket of very deep earthquakes was discovered beneath northern Taranaki, at a depth of almost km. Another occurred there in , of magnitude 5. There are almost no earthquakes in New Zealand deeper than km, except this isolated pocket.
But their very great depth implies that they are not felt, and are of scientific interest only.
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New Zealand is a long, narrow, mountainous country surrounded by a large expanse of ocean. The nearest major land mass is Australia some 1, kilometres to the west. Its location in a latitude zone where the prevailing wind flow is westerly. Its mountains, especially the main mountain chain which modifies the weather systems as they pass eastwards, and also provides a sheltering effect on the leeward side of the mountains. The day-to-day weather is mostly determined by a series of anticyclones and troughs of low pressure in the westerlies.
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Consequently New Zealand weather is changeable, typically with short periods of a few days of settled or unsettled weather. At times the westerly regime breaks down and there are cold southerly outbreaks with snow in winter and sometimes spring , or northerly intrusions of warm, moist air when tropical depressions move southwards into New Zealand latitudes in the summer. The main mountain chain which extends much of the length of the country is a major barrier to weather systems approaching from the west. Consequently there is a marked contrast between the climates of regions west and east of the mountains, and this is much greater than north-south climatic differences.
Many parts of the country are subject to extremes of wind and rain, giving rise to wind damage to buildings and forests, and flooding as depressions with their fronts pass close to or over the country. Temperature extremes are mainly confined to places east of the main ranges. These high temperatures are often followed by sudden falls in temperature as a cold front moves up the east coast of both islands. It was the driest year ever in eastern Northland and Hawke's Bay, where in places records began last century. For most, was a very sunny year. It was not as cold as either or Summary of climate extremes.
Source: NIWA.
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Westerly and south-westerly airflows occurred with their highest frequency over New Zealand since measurements commenced in Anticyclones, which bring dry settled weather, occurred more often over south-east Australia and to the north of New Zealand. There were few moist north-easterly airflows, which bring higher rainfalls to northern and eastern regions.
In these regions drier than usual weather occurred in most months.